Newsletter
What is money?
It is always a means to an end. A Friday essay, totally poll-free.
Latest
strategy
What does it mean to fight?
Great questions from one of this week's guests
Democracy Is In Decline
Americans wish it weren't
There's Democrats, and Then There's Democracy
I meant to get a post out yesterday about the conversation I had with Grafton Tanner that posted last week, but every day is a decade, so I’ll do that tomorrow/ten years from now. Today I am side-eyeing the news. I got an email from Navigator Research this
What's Ahead for Cross Tabs in 2025
Enough of diagnoses without treatments
Forecasting Ends Tonight
Most forecasters will lock their models at midnight tonight. God willing, the Times Needle will remain entombed.
Episode Recaps and Looking Ahead
What we've been up to leading up to Election Day — and what we'll be up to after
Episode 21 - Lost in a Gallup
An interview with journalist, professor and author, W. Joseph Campbell about the co-history of journalism and polling
Crypto Elections: Manufactured stats, invented voting blocs, and betting on elections
The latest episode features my interview with Molly White about crypto PACs and polls, and why they're not on the level. Remember: the house always wins. Unless it goes to jail.
Episodes
Episode 20: Crypto Elections - Manufactured stats, invented voting blocs, and betting on elections
The latest episode features my interview with Molly White about crypto PACs and polls, and why they're not on the level. Remember: the house always wins. Unless it goes to jail. This episode came together because of a few things starting to collide in my head. And the
Knowing Enough
When does "Harris is unknown" turn into "Harris is unknowable"?
Newsletter
Knowing Enough
When does "Harris is unknown" turn into "Harris is unknowable" Last night VP Kamala Harris did a live-streamed event with Oprah for hundreds of thousands of viewers. In my opinion, it was good, but it wasn’t great. One complaint I have is so very nitpicky,