Friday Polls - The Seven States
In which I look at the WSJ seven-swing-states poll that came out this week and talk about why you should take any margin of error you see and double it.
In which I look at the WSJ seven-swing-states poll that came out this week and talk about why you should take any margin of error you see and double it.
Newsletter
In which I look at the WSJ seven-swing-states poll that came out this week and talk about why you should take any margin of error you see and double it.
The data campaigns use to identify and persuade key segments is the product of a complex process that transforms voter files into powerful tools for targeting & modeling.
Correction to the previous edition - wrong headline, but ... the substance of the post is still good.
Newsletter
Correction to the previous edition - wrong headline, but ... the substance of the post is still good.
An interview with Natalie Lupiani and Shannon Janean Currie of Benenson Strategy Group on the lastest episode of Cross Tabs As the political landscape grows increasingly complex, the art and science of polling have never been more crucial—or more controversial. While public trust in polls wavers, strategic research consultants
We're four episodes in now, and I'm really excited about this series of interviews I'm doing. Last time, I talked to David Radloff, co-founder of Clarity Campaign Labs about how campaigns model turnout and party preference - and how campaigns put those models to
Welcome to March 5, 2024. It is the first Tuesday in March in a quadrennial year, which makes it Super Tuesday. Voters in 16 states and one US territory will have their first opportunity to vote for their preferred presidential candidate. About a third of each party's delegates
Newsletter
Welcome to March 5, 2024. It is the first Tuesday in March in a quadrennial year, which makes it Super Tuesday. Voters in 16 states and one US territory will have their first opportunity to vote for their preferred presidential candidate. About a third of each party's delegates
David Radloff, co-founder of Clarity Campaign Labs which provides modeling and analytics, polling and strategy for Democratic campaigns, progressive organizations and non-profits, joins Farrah to talk about how campaigns create and use predictive models - about party preference and about turnout - to develop campaign strategy and predict electoral outcomes.
Episodes
The second episode of Cross Tabs went up yesterday (February 12) – it was supposed to go up sooner but things have been busy and well, you know how it is. We're about to engage an editor (the fantastic Alison Preisinger of AMPStudio, who also edits In the Demo)
The Iowa Poll was well within its margin of error last week, and illustrated why top line numbers don't always tell the full story. Examining voters' enthusiasm for a candidate makes a difference in close races, and in the race for the number two spot in Iowa,