election2024
Forecasting Ends Tonight
Most forecasters will lock their models at midnight tonight. God willing, the Times Needle will remain entombed.
election2024
Most forecasters will lock their models at midnight tonight. God willing, the Times Needle will remain entombed.
What we've been up to leading up to Election Day — and what we'll be up to after
The latest episode features my interview with Molly White about crypto PACs and polls, and why they're not on the level. Remember: the house always wins. Unless it goes to jail.
When does "Harris is unknown" turn into "Harris is unknowable"?
A conversation with Split Ticket's Lakshya Jain
Latest episode is live, with Mike Podhorzer of Weekend Reading
"Embrace uncertainty" versus the decimal place
Let's talk about the changing shape of the electorate, what a favorability score is anyway and how that effects the Democratic veepstakes... plus links